Developer Staffing Survey: Needs Outstrip Supply, September 04, 2012 An InformationWeek survey shows IT managers expect that developers with the needed skills will be hard to find for a while yet.
Two years from now: Contractors will represent only 25% of the solution.
Most sites expect that two years from now, their existing developers and newly hired employees will be able to address their software development needs. Only one-quarter of organizations expect to be using contractors to address this need. This set of responses strikes me as hopelessly optimistic. It seems to assume that the rate of change will slow down and that the shortage of skills shown in earlier slides will be filled by the "then" staff. If anything, we've learned that the rate of change rarely slows, so that in two years' time, the staff might well have the skills needed for technologies adopted today, but it's unlikely they'll have what they need for technologies to be adopted then.
— Andrew Binstock